本周（7月6日-10日，WK28）市场经历了剧烈波动与多重主题交织的一周。周初美伊停火协议破裂——特朗普宣布停火"结束"，美军发动空袭，伊朗报复性打击，随后谈判重启，油价随之过山车。周二FOMC会议纪要显示"大多数参与者"支持9月降息，鸽派转向为市场提供支撑。周三至周四，AI/半导体板块出现资金轮动，资本从国防和能源重新流向AI，NVDA周五飙升+3.95%。周四OpenAI正式发布GPT-5.6三模型系列（Sol/Terra/Luna），引发AI板块新一轮热潮。周五SK海力士$265亿美国IPO正式上市，成为史上最大外国公司美国上市案，首日大涨+13%。此外，中国CPI同比+0.3%低于预期，PPI同比-0.8%显示内需疲软；欧盟正式对微软-OpenAI合作展开反垄断调查；Circle获批准成为联邦监管银行。
整周来看，标普500小幅收涨约+0.5%，经历了周一抛售、周二筑底、周三至周五反弹的节奏。原油受停火博弈影响暴跌至$71附近，黄金在$4,100-4,130区间窄幅震荡，BTC小幅反弹突破$64,000。VIX收于15.03，反映波动率有所回落。
Week 28 (July 6-10) was marked by intense volatility and multiple intersecting themes. The week opened with the US-Iran ceasefire collapsing — Trump declared the truce "over", airstrikes followed, Iran retaliated, then talks resumed, sending oil on a rollercoaster. Tuesday's FOMC minutes showed "most participants" favoring a September rate cut, providing a dovish pivot. By Wednesday-Thursday, capital rotated from defense/energy back into AI/semiconductors, with NVDA surging +3.95% Friday. OpenAI publicly released its GPT-5.6 trio (Sol/Terra/Luna) on Thursday, sparking fresh AI enthusiasm. Friday saw SK Hynix's landmark $26.5B US IPO debut +13% — the largest foreign company US listing in history. China CPI missed at +0.3% YoY with PPI at -0.8%, signaling weak domestic demand. The EU opened a formal antitrust probe into the Microsoft-OpenAI partnership, and Circle received approval to become a federally regulated bank.
For the week, the S&P 500 finished roughly +0.5% after a Monday selloff, Tuesday stabilization, and Wednesday-Friday recovery. Crude collapsed to ~$71 on ceasefire whipsaw, gold held the $4,100-4,130 zone, and BTC bounced above $64,000. VIX settled at 15.03, reflecting easing volatility.
| 资产Asset | 周五收盘Fri Close | 日涨跌Day Chg | 周估计Est. Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,575.39 | +31.75 (+0.42%) | ~+0.5% |
| Nasdaq | 26,281.61 | +74.72 (+0.29%) | ~+0.8% |
| Dow Jones | 52,637.01 | +149.60 (+0.29%) | ~flat |
| Russell 2000 | 2,977.81 | -14.74 (-0.49%) | ~-1.2% |
| VIX | 15.03 | -0.81 (-5.11%) | ~-8% |
| Gold (XAU) | $4,128.90 | -$11.90 (-0.29%) | ~flat |
| WTI Crude | $71.51 | -$0.57 (-0.79%) | ~-5% |
| Brent | ~$76.00 | ~-$1.50 | ~-4% |
| BTC | $64,100.27 | +$1,042.16 (+1.65%) | ~+1.5% |
| ETH | ~$1,795.03 | ~+3.07% | ~+2% |
| SPY | $754.95 | ~+0.42% | ~+0.5% |
| QQQ | $725.51 | ~+0.3% | ~+0.8% |
| Copper | $34.60 | ~-$0.40 | ~-1% |
本周 signal_db.py 中无信号记录。
信号数据库在本周内未注册任何信号条目。这可能是因为系统切换或数据记录问题。本周的信号验证将基于7月10日早盘报告中的交易预测进行评估（见下方"大师预测验证"部分）。
待信号数据库恢复后，将在后续周报中重新纳入准确的量化统计。
No signal records found in signal_db.py for this week.
The signal database registered no entries during Week 28. This may be due to a system transition or data recording issue. Signal verification for this week is instead performed against trade predictions from the July 10 morning report (see "Master Prediction Verdict" below).
Quantitative signal accuracy statistics will resume once the signal database is operational.